Published Papers

with M. Roche (HBS) - Forthcoming at Management Science 

We analyze the impact of the US Postal Service’s expansion in the late 1800s on firm creation and performance. Exploiting novel data constructed from digitized archives on historic business establishments, post office locations, and road network characteristics in California, we find a positive relationship between the expansion of the postal service and firm creation. To address endogeneity concerns, we exploit an unexpected change in the Californian postal service route network. In addition, we examine feasible channels, through which the US Mail may have promoted firm entry. These include its potential role as a financial service, as an arm connecting to other government services, as a mass communication infrastructure, or as a carrier of specialized knowledge. Our results suggest that of these proposed mechanisms, the latter played a particularly important role. Moreover, while increasing competition given new entry exerted downward pressure on many incumbents, actors relying on specialized knowledge inputs were able to most strongly benefit from local access to the US Mail. 

with P. Choudhury (HBS), K. Doran (University of Notre Dame), and C. Yoon (KDI) - Organization Science (2024)

We study how restrictive immigration policies and the unexpected loss of peers affect the performance of skilled migrants exploiting the unexpectedly increased denials of extensions of H-1B visas in the United States beginning in 2017. Losing a peer increased the individual performance of workers left behind, despite this effect being small in magnitude. However, we find that individuals who lost peers of the same ethnic background experience a substantial decrease in performance. To resolve the endogeneity surrounding visa-denial decisions, we build an instrumental variable that exploits the fixed duration of the visas. Our mechanism test suggests that ethnic ties boost individual performance through preferential channels of knowledge and information spillovers.

Management Science (2023)

Immigration has proven to be a major force driving entrepreneurial dynamics. In this paper, I investigate how the geographical distribution of immigrants within a given country, and in particular the presence of "enclaves", affects the relationship between immigration and entrepreneurship. I examine the impact of Polish immigration to Great Britain following the unprecedented migration wave caused by the European Union enlargement in 2004. I address omitted variable concerns by using information on the location of historical Polish military settlements and the occupational composition and growth of Polish immigration in Ireland to construct instruments for enclaves and location choices of immigrants. The econometric results indicate, on the one hand, that immigration does increase immigrant entrepreneurship, but not in existing immigrant enclaves. On the other hand, immigrant entrepreneurs outside enclaves tend to achieve worse growth outcomes than those in enclaves. Further analyses provide an explanation to these findings due to blocked labor markets and to the higher prevalence of "necessity entrepreneurship" outside of enclaves. These results offer new insights to understand the influence of geography on entrepreneurship in the presence of immigration.

with C. Acosta - Organization Science (2023)

Immigrant entrepreneurs are a major driver of economic growth, and their decisions about where to locate can greatly affect the entrepreneurial ecosystem of a country. Meanwhile, increasingly uncertain immigration environments might discourage immigrants from establishing new ventures in host countries. This paper exploits the unexpected result of the Brexit referendum to investigate the relationship between immigration uncertainty and the entry of immigrant-founded ventures of different quality. We propose a model of immigrant entrepreneurial entry and introduce a new measure of venture quality at founding. We find that a surge in uncertainty decreases the growth rate of new immigrant-founded firms by 3.2%. The reliance on other immigrant actors exacerbates the negative effect that uncertainty has on entry. Moreover, low- and high-quality firms are the most affected, while the effect for medium-quality firms is negligible. Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that Brexit discouraged the entry of around 620 low-quality and 250 high-quality firms. Our model suggests that while founders of low-quality ventures might decide to take up employment, founders of high-quality ventures might be better off establishing their companies in another country.

with M. Giorcelli and N. Lacetera  - Journal of Economic Growth (2022)

We study the effects of scientific changes on broader cultural discourse, two phenomena that the economics literature identifies as key drivers of long-term growth, focusing on a unique episode in the history of science: the elaboration of the theory of evolution by Charles Darwin. We measure cultural discourse through the digitized text analysis of a corpus of hundreds of thousands of books as well as of Congressional and Parliamentary records for the US and the UK. We find that some concepts in Darwin’s theory, such as Evolution, Survival, Natural Selection and Competition, significantly increased their presence in the public discourse immediately after the publication of On the Origin of Species. Moreover, several words that embedded the key concepts of the theory of evolution experienced semantic and sentiment changes—further channels through which Darwin’s theory influenced the broader discourse. Our findings represent the first large-sample, systematic quantitative evidence of the relation between two key determinants of long-term economic growth, and suggest that natural language processing offers promising tools to explore this relation. 

with P. Adams and R. Fontana, Industrial and Corporate Change, (2018)

This article presents an application of recent management theories concerning the effect of pre-entry experience and knowledge transfer within the context of creative industries. The setting of the empirical research is the television situation comedy industry in the United States between 1949 and 2011. Specifically, we explore the factors that explain the survival rate of sitcoms and their spin-offs. We develop two sets of indicators to explore the effect of pre-entry experience: team similarity and star power based on the character/actor. Our findings show that spin-offs, or sitcoms that inherit character/actors and theme elements from a successful parent sitcom, have a greater likelihood to survive than de novo sitcoms. Even further, the greater the number of team members that not only worked with each other on previous shows but worked together on the same parent show, the better the performance of the spin-off. We suggest that these results provide initial evidence that, consistent with the literature on spinouts in manufacturing industries, knowledge endowments represent an important source of performance heterogeneity in project-based industries.

 Working Papers

Who Gains from Creative Destruction? Evidence from High-Quality Entrepreneurship in the United States

with J. Voorheis (US Census Bureau)

The question of who gains from high-quality entrepreneurship is crucial to understanding whether investments in incubating potentially innovative start-up firms will produce socially inclusive outcomes. We attempt to bring new evidence to this question by examining the impact of entrepreneurship on local-area income inequality, average incomes, and income mobility using IRS and U.S. Census Bureau microdata. In both fixed effects and IV models, we find that entrepreneurship increases income inequality, in line with previous literature, although this effect fades over time. Despite this, entrepreneurship raises average incomes across the distribution, especially for individuals at both tails. Younger individuals, Black, and foreign-born individuals, as well as low-income AIAN and Asian individuals, experience significant income gains. We also find that entrepreneurship serves as an important mobility tool for less well-off individuals, positively increasing their probability of rising to the top of the income distribution. These mobility effects are very strong for Asian, Hispanic, and foreign-born individuals, but not as pronounced for Black individuals relative to other groups, which is mostly related to wage-related dynamics rather than business ownership. In addition, we demonstrate that the positive effects on incomes and mobility are specific to high-quality entrepreneurship, as opposed to general entrepreneurship, which also includes subsistence-based activities.

Bounded Solidarity: the Role of Migrants in Shaping Entrepreneurial Ventures

with R. Choudhury (HBS)

We explore a previously unexamined aspect of migrants' contributions to local entrepreneurial ecosystems: the value created by cooperative interactions between migrants and locals in entrepreneurial ventures. Specifically, we analyze whether mixed teams composed of migrants and locals generate distinct entrepreneurial ideas compared to teams composed only of locals during an experimental intervention involving a two-day idea generation challenge. Through detailed surveys, evaluations by a panel of judges, and text analysis techniques, we find that while ideas tend to be comparable over a variety of dimensions for both groups, mixed teams are uniquely effective in proposing socially impactful entrepreneurial ideas. Further analyses indicate that this outcome does not stem from the inherent prosocial tendencies of migrants but from their interactions with locals, spurred by a process of bounded solidarity.

Echoes of Discord: The Ripple Effects of Global Conflicts and Disputes on  Entrepreneurship

As global immigration flows surge around the world, entrepreneurial teams in host countries become more mixed. However, this trend emerges amidst a notable surge in conflicts and disputes worldwide, giving rise to tension between increasing trends of collaboration among entrepreneurs of different nationalities and the potential influence of global conflicts on entrepreneurial initiatives. Leveraging comprehensive data on the founders of companies established in Great Britain and data on conflicts and disputes from 2002 to 2014, this paper aims to explore the impact of conflicts on the formation of international entrepreneurial teams in host countries and its implications for their entrepreneurial ecosystems. Results indicate a significant negative effect of conflicts on the entrepreneurial formation of ventures established by nationals of conflicting countries. Mechanism exploration suggests that these findings are not driven by the economic consequences brought about by conflicts in the origin countries, but are driven instead by social factors, including trust-related ones. Negative effects are exacerbated in environments where conflicts are more salient and between nationals whose origin country's government tightly controls media. Further analysis indicates that industries strongly reliant on high-skilled human capital, such as finance and high-tech, as well as high-growth start-ups are particularly hit by these dynamics. The decline in mixed entrepreneurship is not offset by the formation of other ventures with alternative team compositions, such as solo or same-nationality ventures, suggesting that global conflicts and disputes lead to a net loss in entrepreneurship in the host country.